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August 7, 2008

Campaign For The White House 2008

McCain, Fair-Weather Free Marketeer: Courting Coal

Posted at 4:08 PM

We've discussed in this space Senator John McCain's occasional backsliding from the free market orthodoxy. He opposes government intervention in the markets, except when he favors it -- when, say, CEO's make too much money, "speculators" drive up oil prices, or giant government sponsored enterprises teeter on the brink. Now we might add energy technology to the list of exceptions.

It is common for Republicans to rail against government R&D investment or other incentives for alternative energy -- it's Washington picking winners and losers, they like to say. McCain himself has condemned the ethanol subsidies as a handout to farmers. "Ethanol is bad policy and has harmed us," Douglas Holtz-Eakin, McCain's top economic adviser told Business Week in May. "We should have an equal approach for all technologies." Said McCain a month later: "I'm not picking winners and losers here. I think the way we're going to solve this issue is to let a thousand flowers bloom. I'm for federal funding of pure research and development.''

"Yes, that means no ethanol subsidies," the candidate told ethanol producers in Iowa back in November. "But it also means no rifle-shot tax breaks for big oil. It means no line items for hydrogen, no mandates for other renewable fuels, and no big-government debacles like the Dakotas Synfuels plant. It means ethanol entrepreneurs get a level playing field to make their case -- and earn their profits." (Democrat Barack Obama supports not just ethanol subsidies, but tax credits for wind and solar power, which McCain also opposes.)

So then why does McCain support ginormous subsidies for nuclear power and so-called "clean coal"? McCain pledges to build 45 new nuclear power plants -- the U.S. hasn't constructed a new reactor in three decades -- and though his campaign doesn't say how it will accomplish this, McCain suggested in June that his administration might offer "some guarantees." Guarantees? Why, it was guarantees -- loan guarantees, in fact -- that built the Great Plains Synfuels Plant in North Dakota that McCain criticized in his Iowa speech.

That was a surprising slam, because McCain also promises to commit $2 billion a year for 15 years to developing clean coal technologies -- precisely the kind deployed at the North Dakota plant. National Public Radio's Scott Horsley asked McCain about this recently:

Horsley: Senator, you've said you don't want the federal government to pick winners and losers in the energy sector. Why, then, spend $2 billion on clean coal?
McCain: Well, because we know clean coal is a winner.

We do? Who knew! Certainly not environmental advocates. Clean coal technology relies on a process called gasification -- rather than combusting coal, it heats the fuel until it breaks down to its constituent elements and becomes a gas. The carbon dioxide can be easily removed and stored (perhaps underground), while the remaining gas can then be used to drive a turbine. (At Great Plains, the gas is sold as a substitute for natural gas.) That's the theory, anyway. The Department of Energy helped finance three such electric plants powered by gasified coal. One failed outright; of the two that operate, in Terre Haute, Indiana, and Tampa, Florida, the Indiana plant has suffered from reliability problems. Neither actually captures and sequesters the carbon dioxide -- and that is precisely the hard part. The Department of Energy planned to spend $1 billion to build a gasification electricity plant in Illinois that sequestered greenhouse gasses, but canceled the project in January after the projected costs had nearly doubled. Gasified coal can also be converted to liquid fuels like ethanol or diesel, but a DOE-sponsored lab determined last year that making liquid fuels from coal creates more than twice as much greenhouse gas than simply pumping diesel fuel from a well and two-thirds more CO2 than producing gasoline. Even when the CO2 is sequestered, liquid coal emits 20 percent more carbon dioxide than conventional diesel.

Calling clean coal a winner is, then, a tad premature. But if clean coal isn't exactly an environmental winner, it is, as NPR's Horsley pointed out when I called him today, a political winner. "The swing states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia and Colorado are all among the top coal producers," Horsley said after McCain wrapped up a town hall meeting in Lima, Ohio. "When he talks about it, he'll say, 'Think how many jobs that means right here in Ohio.' When we're in Pennsylvania, he'll say, 'Think how many jobs that means right here in Pennsylvania.' " Notably, Barack Obama, too, supports clean coal technology, though he's become more restrained about coal-to-liquids lately after being chided by environmentalists.

None of which is to suggest that government shouldn't invest in clean coal. On the contrary, it should -- as part of a broad and comprehensive investment portfolio that includes clean coal, wind, solar, ethanol, and maybe even nukes. If we're actually picking winners, even when we say we're not, why limit it to just two?

McCain might take a few minutes to sort out his feelings about the Great Plains Synfuels Plant in North Dakota. It turns out the refinery is a pioneering investment in clean coal. It didn't start out that way -- it was instead a 1970s initiative to free the U.S. from expensive natural gas and Arab oil. Great Plains was never meant to capture CO2, and didn't for years. Then, in the late 1990s, it began exporting carbon dioxide in a pipeline to an oil field in Saskatchewan, where the gas is pumped deep into the ground to dislodge petroleum out of the rock. According to the National Resources Defense Council, it's "the first time in North America that man-made CO2 destined for atmospheric release [is instead] pumped deep into the earth, where it might potentially be sequestered for thousands or even millions of years."

And the power plant is being paid for its effort -- $30 million a year, as of 2005. Not bad for a debacle.

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* 3 Comments

Posted by: obewan at August 8, 2008 2:44 PM

Why not fund clean coal to put it on an equal footing with ethanol? Besides, if ethanol has a negative return as some say it does, then we need to seriously consider all other alternatives.

Carbon sequestration has been proven successful at Kinder-Morgan in TX where over 1 billion cu ft of co2 is captured daily and pumped deep underground, so I hold onto hope that it might work someday for liquid coal production.

Then too, liquid coal could be refined with nuclear power, and if so it would be cleaner than conventional diesel with no additional carbon footprint.

Why don't we hear much about the co2 footprint for ethanol? Sure, it burns cleaner, but how much diesel is required to grow it, and how much coal is required to refine it?

We only have 50 years left on the oil supply according to the DOE. Mexico is our 3rd largest supplier at 15%, and they will run bone dry out of oil in 8-10 years. There will be 10 billion mouths to feed. We really need to be open to more options, and we need to move on this now.

Posted by: Matt at September 6, 2008 10:42 AM

The government should not fund any fuel types or even put tax dollars into research. Why do they think that the free market can not take care of itself? Who isn't upset about high gas prices? If entrepreneurs came up with a cheaper, cleaner alternative who wouldn't buy it? The same is true of electrical power.

I say that the government needs to take their hands off of the market and let the true entrepreneurs do what they do best: build companies that offer cost effective alternatives for consumers. Of course this can only be fair if the government does not give their "winners" the upper hand through subsidies.

Posted by: Blwnbeuu at July 15, 2009 9:31 AM

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